Putin Warns of Retaliation Over Western Long-Range Missile Support to Ukraine
October 28, 2024
0
In a new spike of geopolitical tensions, Russian President Vladimir Putin threatened unequivocally that there would be a strong response from Moscow if the West supplied Kyiv with
In a new spike of geopolitical tensions, Russian President Vladimir Putin threatened unequivocally that there would be a strong response from Moscow if the West supplied Kyiv with long-range missiles. The remarks came during a televised news conference and underlined the high-stakes standoff between Moscow and the West as military aid to Kyiv mounts.
Ratcheting Tensions in the Conflict
Criticizing the West for “reckless involvement” in the conflict, he branded any delivery of advanced, long-range missile systems a direct threat to Russian national security.
We will regard such a transfer as crossing the red line.” Russia will be compelled to take response measures in return,” he said, without specifying what such retaliatory measures would look like. His remarks came amid reports that the West was in advanced talks to provide Ukraine with advanced missiles that have the capability of striking deep inside Russian-held territory.
Western Aid to Kyiv: A New Phase
Ukraine has been seeking long-range missiles from allies as a counterbalance to Russia’s territorial gains and disrupting logistical supply chains behind enemy lines for a pretty long time now. The country insists, Kyiv underlines, that such weapons are very important to liberate captured territories and prevent further aggression from Russia. Recently, the Storm Shadow cruise missiles from the United Kingdom and France have proved to be critical in Ukraine operations targeting military depots far away from the front lines.
The U.S. reportedly also contemplates including supplies of ATACMS, or Army Tactical Missile Systems, in its quest to further enhance Ukraine’s capabilities. Such systems are capable of targets as far away as 300 kilometers-a prospect that raises an alarm in Moscow given the possibility of attacks on Russian border territories or strategic military infrastructure.
Moscow’s Strategic Dilemma
Military analysts say the warning is a effort by Russia to deter further militarization of the conflict by the West, though it is not clear how Moscow would react. Scholars speculate that possible methods of Russian escalation include targeting arms shipments, deploying more advanced missile systems of its own and expanding military operations to new areas.
Officials in the Kremlin have echoed that view, saying Russia sees such arms as a serious escalation. “If the West delivers these missiles, it changes the nature of the conflict entirely,” warned Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. “We cannot allow threats to the Russian homeland to go unanswered.”
Broader Consequences for Global Security
The mounting tension has consequences that reach well beyond the battlefield. NATO countries carefully balance aiding Ukraine without directly confronting Russia, lest the war balloon into something much larger. Long-range systems might embolden Russian aggression and, in turn, draw in Western nations deeper, military experts say.
The latest developments come at a time when unity within NATO is being tested by debates among member states regarding the risks associated with more aggressive military assistance. Indeed, among the divisions staying sharp are those between European nations, nearer to the conflict zone, over how this strategic action would play out.
Unyielding Ukraine
But Ukrainian officials remain defiant in the face of Moscow warnings. Repeatedly, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has underlined that Kyiv will use any weapons it gets responsibly and only for defense purposes to free occupied territories.
“Threats do not intimidate us,” Zelenskyy said in his latest address. “Our partners realize very well that assistance to Ukraine means assistance to global security. We need the weapons to win this war.”
What’s Next?
The world holds its breath as the West considers sending long-range missile systems to Ukraine, and a possible reaction from Russia. The new warning by Putin shows the fragile balance in this conflict, where every step might imply a high degree of escalation.
The next few weeks are likely to prove fateful, with a pressure-testing of options on both sides and for the West at an inflection point: to double down on military assistance or hold back for the sake of restraint against further provocation by Russia.
The unfolding drama continues to test global alliances and shapes the course of a war with profound geopolitical consequences for years to come.